Baseball lost me years ago. Too many drugged up fools and fat guys.
So, will the Jays hit 75 wins this year? What changes will they make after this season? Will the fans come back next year after an extremely disappointing 2013 season?
Cameron Dukes + Dan Adeboboye + Kevin Mital + David Ungerer + Damonte Coxie + DaVaris Daniels + Dejon Brissett = Unstoppable Force
Well ... nobody knew what the GM was going to do last off season and we don't know what he'll do this off season. History has shown he's not one to sit around and do nothing. I expect some off season trades again.
As for the fans next season ... again we'll see. There's a lot of fans still showing up and that's for a crap team this year. And most of these are not people who bought tix in March.
One of the major problems the Jays face in the future is that most of its better players are 30 or older. The following Blue Jays will be 30 or older before the start of the next season: Buerhle 35, Dickey 39, Janssen 32, Johnson 30, Reyes and Delabar almost 31, Bautista 33, Encarnacion 31, and Lind 30. While it is certainly possible for a player over 30 to have good seasons, it is highly unlikely that a team with many of its best players 30+ is going to improve significantly.
In other words, the chances that the Jays will make the playoffs or even have winning seasons is very likely to decline next year and become much more remote with each successive season without a major rebuilding job, which takes time. The gamble of picking up Buerhle, Dickey, Johnson, and Reyes, as well as Cabrera (who turns 30 later in the season) in order to achieve short-term success, has been a failure and is even more unlikely to work out with each successive season. One only has to look at what happened to the Phillies, who won five successive National League East titles from 2007 to 2011, before declining over the last two years to fourth and a losing season in its division this year to see what happens to aging teams. It couldn't have happened to a nicer owner.
Oh, no doubt there will be a playoff game at RC this fall!!!!!
As I noted previously, the following Blue Jays will be 30 or older before the start of the next season: Buerhle, Dickey, Janssen, Johnson, Reyes, Delabar, Bautista, Encarnacion, Lind and Cabrera will be 30 later in the season. Therefore, as a group they are not likely to show much improvement during the rest of their careers, although an individual player could have a spike in production in the next year or two. In addition, they represent most of the best players on the team and, with the exception of Janssen, all were drafted and developed by other teams. The following players on the 40 man roster were developed by the Blue Jays: Cecil, Drabek, Loup, Romero, Arenciba, Goins, Lawrie, Lind, Pillar and Sierra. Of the Toronto-developed players, only Janssen can be considered a first rank pitcher, and only Arenciba, Lawrie and Lind are regular position players, while none of these three can be considered a first rank regular at his position.
What this screams is that the Blue Jays farm system is weak and no amount of clever trades and free agents is going to rescue this team in the short-run because all of the best teams, even the very wealthy ones, develop a fair number of their best players. This aging team, in other words, is going to be mediocre for a while.
Last edited by jerrym; 09-06-2013 at 11:08 PM.
being a Tigers fan...im glad the BLOW JAYS suck....
actually, i was a "kinda fan"(of toronto baseball) when the blow jays picked up Jack Morris...and it was cool that without him they may not have won a W/S.
anyways....Mark Fydrich (sp) was the best EVER player, i have ever watched live, or on TV....ever to pitch in MLB....
the LEAGUE forced the Tigers to switch around the pitching order for ratings on tv, and attendance in other teams parks
...this guy was the best ever,when he was in his prime
...sadly arm surgery was the worst ever...in this time frame
the BIRD....was the best....
Go Tigers Go.....
George Anderson....to Jimmy Leyland...best managers also
Final shot at the "blow jays"..they have never ever had a combo like "Tramell to Whitaker"...
MakeArgonautsGreatAgain, 2021
The concensus ( average of reputable sources) ranking of the Blue Jays farm system sets the quality of the Jays system somewhere between 23rd and 25th out of the 30 teams in Major League Baseball. This compares with a ranking in the 9 to 12 range before Anthopoulos traded off so much talent last year. What does this say ? -- the Blue Jays have a woeful farm system, and it was never very good. For all practical purposes, there is little hope on the farm, other than the occasional utility player.
Note to jerrym: Kyle Drabek was drafted and developed by the Phillies, and Brett Lawrie by the Brewers.
One oar still in the water !
As I mentioned on page 3, "Different names brought in to see the same results". Actually I was wrong the results seem worse. Great jobs Rogers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I guess Toronto really does love the losers with all the suckers running around in Jays gear. You've got something to be proud of Rogers.
Your comment about Drabek and Lawrie is correct. However, I decided to look at the Blue Jays in as kindly a spirit as possible.As I noted previously, the following Blue Jays will be 30 or older before the start of the next season: Buerhle, Dickey, Janssen, Johnson, Reyes, Delabar, Bautista, Encarnacion, Lind and Cabrera will be 30 later in the season. Therefore, as a group they are not likely to show much improvement during the rest of their careers, although an individual player could have a spike in production in the next year or two. In addition, they represent most of the best players on the team and, with the exception of Janssen, all were drafted and developed by other teams. The following players on the 40 man roster were developed by the Blue Jays: Cecil, Drabek, Loup, Romero, Arenciba, Goins, Lawrie, Lind, Pillar and Sierra. Of the Toronto-developed players, only Janssen can be considered a first rank pitcher, and only Arenciba, Lawrie and Lind are regular position players, while none of these three can be considered a first rank regular at his position.
What this screams is that the Blue Jays farm system is weak and no amount of clever trades and free agents is going to rescue this team in the short-run because all of the best teams, even the very wealthy ones, develop a fair number of their best players. This aging team, in other words, is going to be mediocre for a while.
In the first group of players that I mentioned (the 30+) I used the words "drafted and developed". For the second group I only used the word "developed" and decided to be as generous as possible in the use of the definition in order to give the woeful Jays a break. If a player spent roughly a half season or more in the Jays farm system before coming up to the MLB team, I decided to allow that the Jays some part in their development. You are right that Drabek and Lawrie were drafted and began their developments with other teams. However, after Lawrie was traded to the Jays by Milwaukee, he spent some time with Las Vegas and Dunedin. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brett_Lawrie) Drabek spent most of the 2010 season with the Jays New Hampshire affiliate after being acquired from Philadelphia. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyle_Drabek)
Thus, even with the generous application of the word "developed" the Jays have done a poor job of developing players over most of the last decade. With the definition of "drafted and developed", their record is truly dismal.
" the Jays have done a poor job of developing players over most of the last decade. With the definition of "drafted and developed", their record is truly dismal"
I very much agree with you about "dismal", but I feel that this has been going on for much longer than "most of the last decade" Something is very wrong with their evaluation of draftable talent and/or their development of that talent.
One oar still in the water !
I can't post the link right now but it would seem the Jays and Mets will be playing a couple of late pre-season games at the big O in 2014.
Red Sox-Yankees would have drawn more folk but beggars can't be choosers i guess.
There might even be 2. I dunno if the league would want Hamilton to play their home playoff game at Guelph in front of only 13,000 people.
Grey cup 106. Newer and bluer meanies
It's confirmed. Blue Jays at the big O March 28-29 2014 against the Mets. Tickets go on sale at evenko.ca this saturday at 10 AM. price ranges from 18-83 dollars.
Grey cup 106. Newer and bluer meanies
Keep them there.
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